SLSH @ Blue Lake....Statistic Guesses?! Page Title Module
Move Remove Collapse
X
Conversation Detail Module
Collapse
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • nayr
    started a topic SLSH @ Blue Lake....Statistic Guesses?!

    SLSH @ Blue Lake....Statistic Guesses?!

    Hey Everyone,

    I don't post on here very often at all. My Name is Ryan Gwillim, and I'm a huge stats geek when it comes to golf. After discussing the upcoming SLSH at Blue Lake with a bunch of golfers I was taken aback by how much variance there is in everyone's guesstimations of scores. For instance, this past weekend I was talking with two of the people that have the best chance of winning the event. Their guesstimations of the winning score were WAY off from mine. And I have spoken to a lot of other people as well who were all over the board.

    I've heard anywhere from -18 to -5 for the possible winning score for MPO. After muddling around I've decided that I'd like to hear more guesses on a few things. So here are a few questions that I'd like to see ppl on here answer. Whoever has the most points right gets a free McCormick fundraiser Aviar and a free koozie. Second place get's a koozie.

    Please put your answers in the following format so that I can search and tally easily:

    1) Question
    "answer"
    2) Question
    "answer"
    3) Question
    "answer"
    etc etc

    It'd also be cool if you elaborate, but please don't elaborate NEXT to the answer, please keep it to a following paragraph or whatever.

    Here are the questions (keep in mind that par is 69, so -9 would be shooting a 60):

    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)


    Some of these are dependent upon Hagerty letting me see the scores, etc. Hopefully that won't be problem. If not, we'll score just the ones I can answer from the results.

    Alright...go.

    *had to throw a vanity ? in there.


    I'll update this as more people make their picks.
    Last edited by nayr; March 7th, 2013, 05:17 AM. Reason: added spreadsheet

  • nayr
    replied
    BL Stats Contest RESULTS!!!


    The results are in and the winner is Dan Carpenter! Congrats!

    In second place we have a tie between Brian Jacobs, and Michael Grummert.

    Please go check out the results. The average of everyone's answers were pretty close to the actuals with a couple of exceptions. Another notable stat is that hole 7 and hole 17 both averaged 6 when all divisions and both rounds were added together. This was VERY surprising to me!

    Also, regardless of their trash talking skills, Pinkal and Phillips aren't very skilled guesstimators.

    If there is interest I might do more of these stat contests, it's pretty fun.
    Last edited by nayr; March 10th, 2013, 06:42 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Darr
    replied
    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Coates
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -11
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    8
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    63
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    64
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +11
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    6
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    11
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    66
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    7

    Leave a comment:


  • Yardbird
    replied
    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Sean phillips
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -9
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    7
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    64
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    65
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +22
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    6
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    14
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    67
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt
    8

    Leave a comment:


  • DGOD! Disc Golf
    replied
    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Mike Medlock

    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -12

    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    7

    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    -7

    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    -8

    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +16

    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    7

    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    8

    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    65

    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    4

    Thanks Ryan!

    Leave a comment:


  • Fridgecat
    replied
    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Jason Pinkal

    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -10

    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    7

    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    -6

    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    -5

    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    21

    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    6

    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    9

    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    67

    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    4

    Thanks Ryan! This will be fun!
    -craig nielsen
    Last edited by Fridgecat; March 8th, 2013, 08:59 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kenny B
    replied
    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Sean Phillips
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -12
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    6
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    62
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    62
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +22
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    6
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    15
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    67
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    10

    Also, I'm riding home with EnigmaSquad from playing the course for the first time. He's driving right now and wants to change question 3 to a 7 and question 7 to 6 and question 8 to 13.

    Leave a comment:


  • sol
    replied
    1)who will win mpo
    Coury Coates
    2)mpo winning score
    -13
    3)avg hole 17 score
    7
    4)hot mpo round sat
    -9
    5)hot mpo round sun
    -9
    6)Avg first round ma2
    78
    7)avg score hole 7
    7
    8)ob strokes on lead card on second day
    7
    9)ssa for round 1
    64
    10) Ryan Gwillim's total ob
    7

    Leave a comment:


  • Tbiz
    replied
    Here's my updated answers, had to change quite a few. Good luck to everyone this weekend!

    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Pinkal
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -10
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    8 strokes
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    -7
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    -8
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +19
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    7
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    13
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    66
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    9

    Leave a comment:


  • nayr
    replied
    updated....
    BL SLSH Stats Contest


    Also, let the record state that Mr. Coates came to his senses and notified that he changed is Gwillim OB answer to "6" from "12".*

    Leave a comment:


  • nayr
    replied
    Originally posted by Hugh Jasses View Post
    Obviously, everyone voting for Pinkal is currently having sex with his mom.
    First off, To create an account on a forum, just to post this, gives you +1 in my book. Secondly, duh.

    Leave a comment:


  • Hugh Jasses
    replied
    Obviously, everyone voting for Pinkal is currently having sex with his mom.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bluedisc
    replied
    here goes nothing...

    1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
    Sean Phillips
    2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
    -7
    3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
    7
    4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
    -4
    5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
    -5
    6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
    +13
    7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
    6
    8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
    12
    9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
    67
    10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
    7

    This is fun, thanks for the chance!

    Leave a comment:


  • Pizzel
    replied
    Originally posted by Sean Phillips View Post
    Notice Pinkal isn't posting any Shyt anymore? We played a practice round yesterday evening together...
    .....and you convinced me that that you will be finishing in second place.....

    Leave a comment:


  • Sean Phillips
    replied
    WOW, Munk's worst beats my best so far. You may be right Bruce.

    Notice Pinkal isn't posting any Shyt anymore? We played a practice round yesterday evening together...

    Leave a comment:

Announcement Announcement Module
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Working...
X