SLSH @ Blue Lake....Statistic Guesses?!

[nayr]

Hey Everyone,

I don't post on here very often at all. My Name is Ryan Gwillim, and I'm a huge stats geek when it comes to golf. After discussing the upcoming SLSH at Blue Lake with a bunch of golfers I was taken aback by how much variance there is in everyone's guesstimations of scores. For instance, this past weekend I was talking with two of the people that have the best chance of winning the event. Their guesstimations of the winning score were WAY off from mine. And I have spoken to a lot of other people as well who were all over the board.

I've heard anywhere from -18 to -5 for the possible winning score for MPO. After muddling around I've decided that I'd like to hear more guesses on a few things. So here are a few questions that I'd like to see ppl on here answer. Whoever has the most points right gets a free McCormick fundraiser Aviar and a free koozie. Second place get's a koozie.

Please put your answers in the following format so that I can search and tally easily:

1) Question
"answer"
2) Question
"answer"
3) Question
"answer"
etc etc

It'd also be cool if you elaborate, but please don't elaborate NEXT to the answer, please keep it to a following paragraph or whatever.

Here are the questions (keep in mind that par is 69, so -9 would be shooting a 60):

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)


Some of these are dependent upon Hagerty letting me see the scores, etc. Hopefully that won't be problem. If not, we'll score just the ones I can answer from the results.

Alright...go.

*had to throw a vanity ? in there. :)


http://ryangwillim.com/images/disc/scrnsht.gif
I'll update this as more people make their picks.

[nayr]

Here's mine:

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-8
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-6
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-5
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+23
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
12
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
4

[nayr]

Perfect score would be 17. If anyone get's a perfect score, I'll give them one of each of the four McCormick fundraisers. Call it a "Flawless Victory" bonus!

Also, feel free to edit your responses if you want. I'll lock them in on Friday night.

[907miller]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-10
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-6
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-8
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+20
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
8
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
15
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
66
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
6

[907miller]

wait, will 7 be in the long placement?

[jarednfischer]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-11
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
9 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-5
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-7
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+19
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7 strokes
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
14
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
70
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7 Strokes

[nayr]

wait, will 7 be in the long placement?

TD Just confirmed that it will remain in the "short" placement.

[Jason Philips]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)

I think Pinkal will take this one.

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)

-8

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)

6

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)

62

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)

60

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)

81

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)

5

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)

4

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)

67

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)

4

[Tbiz]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Pinkal
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-17
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-7
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-8
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
87
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
10
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
66
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
10

Looking at the weather forecast it looks like it'll be a sunny weekend.
Nice questions, I'm looking forward to seeing the results :) See you there!

[Matt B.]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)

Phillips

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)

-9

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)

8 strokes

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)

-5

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)

-5

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)

+18

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)

7

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)

8

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)

67


10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)

6 strokes

[Wog]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Pinkal
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-10
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-6
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-7
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
88
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
8
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
5

[Bullseye]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)

Sean Phillips

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)

-7

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)

6

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)

64

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)

64

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)

82

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)

7

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)

9

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)

67

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)

5

[Str8MaxW8]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-8
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-5
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-5
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
83
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
13
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
68
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7

[jeverett]

Well, if it helps any stat nerds out there, our 'scratch score estimate' feature from DGCR suggests a 1000-rated round at Blue Lake might be around 61.8. Edit: DGCR is assuming the course is 'lightly wooded' with essentially no OB.. assumptions that are probably not true. :P So take the following with a grain of salt.

If that's reasonably accurate, than also reasonably accurate would be the associated rating-point-interval-per-throw of 7.4766594. Converting that into round ratings:

a 1010-rated round will be approximately: 60.5
a 1020-rated round will be approximately: 59
a 1030-rated round will be approximately: 57.8

etc.

Here's the formula, if anyone wants it:

Score = -1 * (Rating - 1000) / 7.4766594 + 61.8

These are all of course assumptions, based on the estimated SSA of 61.8. ;) The DGCR formulas are *typically* accurate to within +/- 1.5 of 'real' SSA, providing fair weather.

[loki]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
A) Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-12
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
60
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
62
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
86
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
13
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
65
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
8

[TheDMZ]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-11
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
9 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-7
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-9
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
86
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
8
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
10
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7

This tournament is going to be exciting on so many levels. Blue Lake is a very difficult course without the OB's, so with them it is anyone's guess. I am looking forward to an eventful day! Thanks Ryan for adding some statistic fun to the mix! And I hope my guess for your OB strokes is high! ;)

[tmiller]

1) Who will win MPO
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par)
-10
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number)
8 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday
-7
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday
-5
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)
+16
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)
8 strokes
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round
8
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
6

[nayr]

Thanks Ryan for adding some statistic fun to the mix! And I hope my guess for your OB strokes is high! ;)

No problem, Zimm. I wish the stats of this game got more coverage other than "So and so won the tourney". And your OB guess is high, by at least 3 strokes. :)

[nayr]

Well, if it helps any stat nerds out there, our 'scratch score estimate' feature from DGCR suggests a 1000-rated round at Blue Lake might be around 61.8. Edit: DGCR is assuming the course is 'lightly wooded' with essentially no OB.. assumptions that are probably not true. :P So take the following with a grain of salt.

If that's reasonably accurate, than also reasonably accurate would be the associated rating-point-interval-per-throw of 7.4766594. Converting that into round ratings:

a 1010-rated round will be approximately: 60.5
a 1020-rated round will be approximately: 59
a 1030-rated round will be approximately: 57.8

etc.

Here's the formula, if anyone wants it:

Score = -1 * (Rating - 1000) / 7.4766594 + 61.8

These are all of course assumptions, based on the estimated SSA of 61.8. ;) The DGCR formulas are *typically* accurate to within +/- 1.5 of 'real' SSA, providing fair weather.

Thanks for adding this in here. If DGCR SSE is correct I think we'll be seeing a few 1050 rounds by some of the top players. I was going to add the pts per stroke compression figure into the questions but I'm not sure enough people understand what it is.

In all honesty with the crazy high scores (80+) that I've been hearing from decent, 920-950 golfers, I'm expecting the PPS compression to be closer to 7.2ish. I can't recall if I've ever seen it in the 6s in a sanctioned event or not, but I don't believe so. If Chuck pops in he could enlighten us.

[jeverett]

Thanks for adding this in here. If DGCR SSE is correct I think we'll be seeing a few 1050 rounds by some of the top players. I was going to add the pts per stroke compression figure into the questions but I'm not sure enough people understand what it is.

In all honesty with the crazy high scores (80+) that I've been hearing from decent, 920-950 golfers, I'm expecting the PPS compression to be closer to 7.2ish. I can't recall if I've ever seen it in the 6s in a sanctioned event or not, but I don't believe so. If Chuck pops in he could enlighten us.

Courses like Winthrop Gold have SSA's high enough to push the rating-compression-interval down below 6, but there aren't too many events out there with SSA's that high. Here's the PDGA formula to convert SSA to rating-interval, just in case you're interested:

For SSA's above 50.3289725:
Rating Increment = -0.225067 * SSA + 21.3858

For SSA's below 50.3289725:
Rating Increment = -0.487095 * SSA + 34.5734

Theoretically, you could also work backward from your 7.2 interval estimate:

Rating Increment = -0.225067 * SSA + 21.3858
7.2 = -0.225067 * SSA + 21.3858
7.2 - 21.3858 = -0.225067 * SSA
(7.2 - 21.3858) / -0.225067 = SSA
SSA = 63.0292312956.

But yeah, 1050-rated rounds should definitely be a possibility, providing players rated 1020+ are playing. According to Chuck, 90% of the time players with established (i.e. they have at least 8 previous rated rounds, spread across multiple courses/layouts) ratings record rounds within +/- 30 rating point of their own rating.

[nayr]

But yeah, 1050-rated rounds should definitely be a possibility, providing players rated 1020+ are playing. According to Chuck, 90% of the time players with established (i.e. they have at least 8 previous rated rounds, spread across multiple courses/layouts) ratings record rounds within +/- 30 rating point of their own rating.

I'm expecting the scoring spread at this event will be much greater than Winthrop due to the fact that we have everyone from 700 rated players to 1000 rated players competing on the same course. We don't have any 1020 players, but it's likely that the ~1000 rated players will be shooting in excess of 20 strokes better than the ~900 rated players, which will be very interesting. I think that +/-30 could spread out a bit.

[nayr]

This forum doesn't allow iframes, so here's a link to the data so far. The averages of everyone's guesses are at the top. Thanks to Carson for helping me rock out the formula's etc.

BL SLSH Stats Contest (http://goo.gl/pyAGC)

[NAVA50383]

1)who will win mpo
Sean Phillips
2)mpo winning score
-16
3)avg hole 17 score
7
4)hot mpo round sat
-8
5)hot mpo round sun
-9
6)Avg first round ma2
83
7)avg score hole 7
6
8)ob strokes on lead card on second day
7
9)ssa for round 1
66
10) Ryan Gwillim's total ob
5

Ps 11) who wins women's intermediate
Michelle nava:yay::yay:

[Rakoz]

1)who will win mpo
Sean Phillips
2)mpo winning score
-15
3)avg hole 17 score
7
4)hot mpo round sat
-10
5)hot mpo round sun
-8
6)Avg first round ma2
79
7)avg score hole 7
6
8)ob strokes on lead card on second day
7
9)ssa for round 1
62
10) Ryan Gwillim's total ob
6

[JMittl]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts).
-14
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
62
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
62
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
89
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
9
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
65
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
6

[Hippy007]

Here are the questions (keep in mind that par is 69, so -9 would be shooting a 60):

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Pinkal

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-10

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
65

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
63

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
75

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
6

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
63

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
0

Hippy007
:cool2:

[Sean Phillips]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-3
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
9
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
67
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
65
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+20
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
21
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
72
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
14


I feel a little tacky voting for myself but I'm pretty all our Presidents voted for themselves too. :)

My guesses are way higher than most here. Especially OB strokes on lead card last day. The weather forecast looks absolutely AMAZING! I don't believe it. But if it truly is mid 50's with no wind this weekend I think I'll be a few strokes off.

[Sean Phillips]

Thank you all that guess I'm going to win. :trophy:

As for those that think Pinkal's going to win :yawn: Pinkal is my first pic to DNF :bricks:

My second pics are Coates, Waibel, and Medlock.

[Portland Rebel]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
John Ollis: He's due
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-11
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
64
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
63
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+18
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
8
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
12
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
12

[Pizzel]

Thank you all that guess I'm going to win. :trophy:You know we will be playing Blue Lake and not Rockwood, right?

FYI: You may want to have a friend follow me on the lead card Sunday to take notes as it will be hard for me to show you how to play Blue Lake when you are three cards back!:shocked:

[Jason Philips]

Zing! Going to be fun to see you two battle it out.

[Pizzel]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Phillips mom!
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-6
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
64
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
64
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
87
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
15
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
69
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7

[Sean Phillips]

You know we will be playing Blue Lake and not Rockwood, right?

FYI: You may want to have a friend follow me on the lead card Sunday to take notes as it will be hard for me to show you how to play Blue Lake when you are three cards back!:shocked:

This isn't Slosh 1 at Timber. Your mom didn't pay me to dump the first round just to give you hope this time. You better put a couple more of your wife's discs in your bag before this weekend. That 142 Valk is gonna get a little heavy there old guy. :kissflowers:

[Pizzel]

This isn't Slosh 1 at Timber. Your mom didn't pay me to dump the first round just to give you hope this time.At least I seal the deal when mounting a Slosh comeback from the second card: http://www.pdga.com/tournament_results/79034:trophy:

[Sean Phillips]

At least I seal the deal when mounting a Slosh comeback from the second card: http://www.pdga.com/tournament_results/79034:trophy:

Oh, that's a good blast from the past.

Lets take a look at the present:
http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/46113 :trophy:

http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/39203 :puke:

[Bullseye]

At least I seal the deal when mounting a Slosh comeback from the second card: http://www.pdga.com/tournament_results/79034:trophy:

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxjlw4AnIX1rn1xxfo1_250.gif

[Sean Phillips]

At least I seal the deal when mounting a Slosh

You do what with Sloshes? :blush:

[Pizzel]

Lets take a look at the present:
http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/46113

http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/39203My player rating is higher than yours?

[EnigmaSquad]

Oh, that's a good blast from the past.

Lets take a look at the present:
http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/46113 :trophy:

http://www.pdga.com/player_stats/39203 :puke:

Not knowing either of you in person, this is becoming highly entertaining.

[EnigmaSquad]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips (Going with the hotter hand, not the higher rated)
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-8
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
65
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
64
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+21
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
16
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
68
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
12

[Bruce]

Dave Munk (Masters) beats Sean Phillips in this event. Sure only by score and not in the division. But I think he goes 62/60 for his two rounds. Tourney golf could be different obviously but the worst score he's ever shot there when I've played with him was a 62. I still love you though, Sean!

P.s. I really need to get back into playing golf.

[jdinteg]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Pinkal

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-6

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-4

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-2

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
85

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
16

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
68

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
6

[emmarose]

Not knowing either of you in person, this is becoming highly entertaining.

it's even better when you DO know them... aren't they cute???

[dc1]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-9
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
6 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-6
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-6
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+20
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
10
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
68
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
5


Thanks for putting this together Ryan!! :trophy:

[Sean Phillips]

WOW, Munk's worst beats my best so far. :bowing: You may be right Bruce.

Notice Pinkal isn't posting any Shyt anymore? We played a practice round yesterday evening together...

[Pizzel]

Notice Pinkal isn't posting any Shyt anymore? We played a practice round yesterday evening together........and you convinced me that that you will be finishing in second place.....:yawn:

[Bluedisc]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-7
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-4
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-5
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+13
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
12
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7

This is fun, thanks for the chance! :dancing:

[Hugh Jasses]

Obviously, everyone voting for Pinkal is currently having sex with his mom.:cheers:

[nayr]

Obviously, everyone voting for Pinkal is currently having sex with his mom.:cheers:

First off, To create an account on a forum, just to post this, gives you +1 in my book. Secondly, duh.

[nayr]

updated....
BL SLSH Stats Contest (goo.gl/pyAGC)

Also, let the record state that Mr. Coates came to his senses and notified that he changed is Gwillim OB answer to "6" from "12".*

[Tbiz]

Here's my updated answers, had to change quite a few. Good luck to everyone this weekend!

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Pinkal
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-10
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8 strokes
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-7
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-8
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+19
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
13
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
66
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
9

[sol]

1)who will win mpo
Coury Coates
2)mpo winning score
-13
3)avg hole 17 score
7
4)hot mpo round sat
-9
5)hot mpo round sun
-9
6)Avg first round ma2
78
7)avg score hole 7
7
8)ob strokes on lead card on second day
7
9)ssa for round 1
64
10) Ryan Gwillim's total ob
7

[Kenny B]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean Phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-12
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
6
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
62
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
62
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+22
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
15
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
10

Also, I'm riding home with EnigmaSquad from playing the course for the first time. He's driving right now and wants to change question 3 to a 7 and question 7 to 6 and question 8 to 13.

[Fridgecat]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Jason Pinkal

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-10

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-6

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-5

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
21

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
9

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
4

Thanks Ryan! This will be fun!
-craig nielsen

[DGOD! Disc Golf]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Mike Medlock

2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-12

3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7

4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
-7

5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
-8

6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+16

7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
7

8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
8

9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
65

10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
4

Thanks Ryan!

[Yardbird]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Sean phillips
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-9
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
7
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
64
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
65
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+22
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
14
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
67
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt
8

[Darr]

1) Who will win MPO(worth 3pts)
Coates
2) What will the MPO winning score be for the weekend (over/under par, i.e. "-9") (3pts)
-11
3) What will be the average score for all divisions on hole 17 (both rounds)(round to nearest whole number) (1pt)
8
4) What will the hot MPO round be on Saturday (1pt)
63
5) What will the hot MPO round be on Sunday (1pt)
64
6) What will the average first round score be for MA2 (round to nearest whole number)(1pt)
+11
7) What will be the average score on hole 7 (all divisions, all rounds) (round to the nearest whole number)(1pt)
6
8) How many OB strokes will be counted for the lead card in the second round (1pt)
11
9) What will be the SSA for round 1 (SSA is a 1000 rated round, for instance, Pier usually has an SSA of about 49) (4pts)
66
10) How many OB strokes will I (Ryan Gwillim) have for the whole tournament.* (1pt)
7

[nayr]

BL Stats Contest RESULTS!!! (http://goo.gl/pyAGC)

The results are in and the winner is Dan Carpenter! Congrats!

In second place we have a tie between Brian Jacobs, and Michael Grummert.

Please go check out the results. The average of everyone's answers were pretty close to the actuals with a couple of exceptions. Another notable stat is that hole 7 and hole 17 both averaged 6 when all divisions and both rounds were added together. This was VERY surprising to me!

Also, regardless of their trash talking skills, Pinkal and Phillips aren't very skilled guesstimators.

If there is interest I might do more of these stat contests, it's pretty fun.